Each Sunday Just Blog Baby editor and avid degenerate gambler Chase Ruttig will give his picks against the spread for each week of the NFL season. Here are his Week One selections.
Week One is a muddy wasteland for the NFL gambler. The uncertainty of having no statistical data to back up your wagers combined with the variables of the excitement of the start of the NFL season a make or break weekend. With that being said I am not one to shy away from the challenge so here are my first (hopefully winning) selections of the 2013 NFL season.
(Home team in Caps)
Patriots (-10.5) over BILLS
The lack of Rob Gronkowski doesn’t shy me away from taking New England and the points in Buffalo. Tom Brady and the Evil Hoodie calling the plays have a point to prove after Wes Welker’s exit and the Aaron Hernandez fiasco, expect that point to be made at the expense of the Bills who had terrible luck with quarterback injuries during the preseason that doesn’t help their cause.
Bengals (+3) over BEARS
Cincinnati’s defense is realy, really good which should make things difficult for Jay Cutler and the Bears offensive line. Expect that line to be getting yelled at by Cutler often as he should be under pressure from the Bengals pass rushers all afternoon long. Andy Dalton and A.J. Green will put up just enough points on the board to give the Bengals the first upset special on Sunday. Cincy will take the win and cover as three point dogs at the very least.
BROWNS (-1) over Dolphins
In a game between two teams that will be rolling out sophomore quarterbacks coming off of solid rookie seasons I like Brandon Weeden and the Browns over Ryan Tannehill’s Dolphins. The loss of Reggie Bush will set the Dolphins offense back this season, expect that to be on display in Week One against the hungry Browns at home.
Raiders (+10.5) over COLTS
The blog is called Just Blog Baby right? No offensive line no problem. In Pryor we trust.
Titans (+7) over STEELERS
Pittsburgh might win this game, but the seven point line is too high for a team that is two years past their prime. Tennessee will keep it close.
SAINTS (-3) over Falcons
The return of Sean Payton and homefield advanatge make me tip my hat to the Saints in this very hard to predict match up. This will likely be the game of the early starts that gets the most attention as the sparks will be flying at the Superdome in one of football’s under appreciated division feuds.
Bucs (-3) over JETS
God bless those who can talk themselves into the Jets trainwreck. Darrelle Revis will be getting the last laugh in his return to New York/New Jersey. No matter who plays quarterback for the Jets they won’t have enough pieces to do much on Sunday.
LIONS (-4) over Vikings
Adrian Peterson is hard to gamble against any week no matter what the line, but I am sticking to avoiding Christian Ponder and am expecting big things out of Reggie Bush now that he is linking up with Matthew Stafford and Calvin Johnson in Detroit. The Lions weapons are going to get it right this season and have too much talent to lose at home. Peterson could bust the spread wide open though so I am treading carefully with this one.
PANTHERS (+4.5) over Seahawks
Cam Newton and Steve Smith getting +4.5 points on Week One at home? Sign me up. Take the Panthers as an upset special tomorrow.
Chiefs (-3.5) over JAGUARS
It pains me to say this, but the Chiefs are looking poised for at least a .500 season in 2013. Alex Smith and Andy Reid’s lovefest in Kansas City will be off to a romantic start against the league worst Jaguars who don’t have much of a home field advantage in the first place. Kansas City should easily win by a touchdown.
RAMS (-3.5) over Cardinals
You aren’t going to catch me putting my money on Carson Palmer and the Cardinals disgusting offensive line. Sam Bradford will take St. Louis to victory to start 2013 off right in the Lou.
Packers (+4.5) over 49ERS
A motivated Aaron Rodgers is out for revenge and I am not quite convinced that Colin Kaepernick is due for an encore season. It will be close, but I can see Green Bay spoiling a season where San Francisco fans have their eyes set on a return to the Super Bowl far too early. Green Bay should hand them a dose of reality, take the points and enjoy what should be a good old fashioned grudge match over on the other side of the Bay.
Giants (+3.5) over COWBOYS
The Cowboys are one of the worst teams in the NFL against the spread at home and have yet to beat the Giants in Jerryworld. Tony Romo’s back issues and less than spectacular preseason don’t have me convinced that the trend will end in 2013, I am going with Coughlin and Eli on Sunday Night Football.