Each week Just Blog Baby co-editor Chase Ruttig will do his best to beat the spreads in every NFL game. Here are his selections.
Week One of Monday Night Football gives us the rare treat of having two Monday games to make money on, and this year’s annual MNF kickoff doubleheader has tons of value. The Washington Redskins host the Philadelphia Eagles before the San Diego Chargers close things down for the night against AFC contenders in the Houston Texans that has both the Redskins and the Texans receiving spreads that favor them by just over a field goal.
Here is my betting breakdown for both games.
Philadelphia Eagles at Washington R*dskins
My picks: Redskins (ML, -3.5) Under 52.o
This game is an important one for Mike Shanahan, RGIII and the Washington Redskins. Going against the Eagles who were an embarrassment in 2012 under Andy Reid, the R*dskins will be expected to send a message that they truly are the NFC East favorites in their star quarterback’s second season.
For the Eagles they will be counting on Michael Vick partnering well with Chip Kelly’s hurry up offense that he is carrying over from his days at Oregon. Vick isn’t the greatest passer and Kelly’s offense demands quick decision making and precision, something that will take time and is likely to give Philly problems tonight unless they have put in some serious work during training camp.
Last season Washington swept the Eagles, winning 31-6 at home before winning 27-20 in the rematch on the road. Those results have me going with the under in 52 points and the Redskins covering the four points.
Houston Texans at San Diego Chargers
My picks: Texans (-4.5) Over 44.5
My hatred of the San Diego Chargers aside, this game should be coverable for the Texans, even as a road favorite on Monday Night Football.
The fact of the matter is that the San Diego Chargers are no longer the team of the early Phillip Rivers Years. Their key characters from their AFC West dominating days are either nearing the very ends of their primes, are washed up, or are out of the league and Mike McCoy is not that much of an upgrade over Norv Turner who took the blame for the Chargers terrible 2012. San Diego followed up firing Turner with little improvement in the free agent market or draft and are largely counting on bounce back seasons from Phillip Rivers and Antonio Gates to reenergize their fortunes, something that was the main problem last year.
Throw in a hungry Texans team coming off their blowout loss to the Pats in the AFC Playoffs last year, the offensive weaponry of Matt Schaub, Arian Foster and Andre Johnson and the loss of first round pick Manti T’eo by San Diego for tonight and you can see why I am going with the Texans tonight. 4.5 points on the road is a lot to ask for, but I think that in their third year as contenders that the Texans know how to win these type of road games, take the points and the Bulls on Parade over an over the hill Chargers.
Bonus Bet of the Night
Texans/Washington ML parlay.
Current record through Week One: 6-7 (Spread)