Another Sunday means another day of gambling. Week One saw us dip under .500 to start the season against the spread, we will try to turn it around this week.
As always home team in CAPS
EAGLES (-7) over Chargers
Things that scare me about this:
- The spread is seven points
- Both teams blew huge leads on Monday Night Football this week
- Mike Vick’s inconsistencies
Things that don’t scare me about this
- Phillip Rivers isn’t Phillip Rivers anymore
- Chip Kelly’s offense is for real
- The Chargers suck
- The Chargers REALLY suck
RAVENS (-7) over Browns
Brandon Weeden looked terrible against the Miami Dolphins last week at home. Baltimore is out to prove that they are still contenders after their loss to the Broncos and for moments of their Thursday night game Joe Flacco and Ray Rice cut up the Broncos D and put up points. At home and extra rested they should manage to cover a touchdown against the Browns.
Titans (-8) over TEXANS
Their Week One win over the Steelers has me staying on the Titans cover bandwagon for another week. They probably won’t get another W, but I will take the eight points especially after San Diego kept it close on Monday night.
COLTS (-2.5) over Dolphins
Andrew Luck and Reggie Wayne looked unbeatable in the first half against Oakland last week. Expect more of the same against the Dolphins. It is a pick em’ spread at under a field goal, I like the Colts, but the Dolphins burned me with a similar line last week.
BILLS (+3.5) over Panthers
Buffalo always has a good home crowd to start the season and the Bills kept things close against the Patriots last week. There should be no reason why they can’t replicate that type of success against a slightly less dangerous Panthers team. Expect a close game that should be within the field goal.
FALCONS (-5.5) over Rams
This line seems really low. Pound it
PACKERS (-7.5) over Washington
Line is high due to RG3’s poor showing last week so there is some value there if you think Washington can keep it within a touchdown, I just don’t see a rusty Washington team bouncing back at Lambeau.
CHIEFS (-3) over Cowboys
Unless Alex Smith and the Chiefs decide to put the ball on the ground as much as the Giants did on SNF, the Cowboys are going to be in for a much tougher challenge against Kansas City.
VIKINGS (-6) over Bears
As much as Christian Ponder is the worst quarterback to gamble on, Adrian Peterson is the worst player to gamble against. It is the second of two big NFC North games for the Vikings so I am expecting a big game on the ground for Peterson. Shy away from trusting Chicago to cover a touchdown unless Ponder implodes (always possible)
Saints (-3) over BUCS
Is this line REALLY -3?
Lions (-2) over CARDS
Stafford+Calvin Johnson+Reggie Bush > Larry Fitz+Carson Palmer
RAIDERS (-4.5) over Jags
Line moved down with Chad Henne coming in at quarterback, only makes the Raiders cover easier. 1-0 ATS this season and will be 1-1 in the standings and covering easily on Sunday. The Jags defense will have troubles containing Pryor and Rod Streater.
GIANTS (+4) over Broncos
Eli Manning laying four points at home in a must win situation is something I can’t pass up, even with his older brother on the other side of the quarterback battle. Less turnovers will immediately turn things around for the Giants, the only question is if their secondary can get enough stops to prevent Denver from pulling ahead. If they can do that they will be giving the Broncos a run for their money. I think they do just that and punch a Champ Bailey/Von Miller-less team in the mouth at home. Eli has been very good for a long time, it is only a matter of time before he reminds everyone why he has the two rings.
Niners (+3) over SEAHAWKS
One of those games where it could very easily be decided within a field goal. I could bore you with the stats and the breakdown, but all of us sitting at home have flipped the coin on this over 1000 times this weekend. Take the security of the three Niners points and enjoy what will be a great end to Sunday.