Sep 15, 2013; Oakland, CA, USA; Oakland Raiders running back Darren McFadden (20) is pursued by Jacksonville Jaguars linebacker Geno Hayes (55) and Paul Posiuszny (51)at O.co Coliseum. The Raiders defeated the Jaguars 19-9. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

Oakland Raiders: Trading Down Makes Perfect Sense To Me


I don’t share the opinions of others when they say that trading down is not the answer for the Oakland Raiders.  History has proven that the first 10 or even 15 picks in the first round for the Oakland Raiders has been unfruitful.  Don’t believe me?  Here’s why:

First and foremost, whoever was drafting players from 2004-2012 was not doing their homework (I know, Al Davis), and they were drafting on speed and size alone.  That will not work in the NFL today.  Speed and size are not the only two factors that dictate a great NFL player.  From 2004 through 2012, the Oakland Raiders have missed on draft day.  They missed on Calvin Johnson, Larry Fitzgerald, Aaron Rodgers, Adrian Peterson, Ben Roethlisberger, and Earl Thomas.  To be completely honest, the last 1st round draft pick that did anything for the Oakland Raiders happened in 2003-Nnamdi Asomugha.

In place of those other wonderful players were names like Robert Gallery (2004-Missed on Larry Fitzgerald, Ben Roethlisberger, Vince Wilfork, and Jason Babin), Fabian Washington (2005-Aaron Rodgers, Roddy White, Logan Mankins, and Heath Miller), Michael Huff (2006-Missed on Donte Witner, Haloti Ngata, Chad Greenway, Johnathan Joseph, Tamba Hali, and Nick Mangold), Jamarcus Russell (2007-Missed on Calvin Johnson, Adrian Peterson, Patrick Willis, and Marshawn Lynch), Darren McFadden (2008-The jury is still out on him.  When healthy, he is an outstanding running back), Darius Heyward-Bey (2009-Missed on B.J. Raji, Brian Orakpo, Brian Cushing, Jeremy Maclin, Alex Mack, Percy Harvin, Kenny Britt, and Clay Matthews), Rolando McClain (2010-Missed on C.J. Spiller, Earl Thomas, Jason Pierre-Paul, Maurkice Pouncey, Mike Lupati, Sean Weatherspoon, Demaryius Thomas, Bryan Bulaga, and Dez Bryant), and No draft pick in 2011 or 2012 due to giving it to New England for Richard Seymour and Cincinnati for Carson Palmer.

The first round of the draft has not been kind to the Oakland Raiders.  Therefore, I have no problem with the Oakland Raiders trading down to any spot.  6th to 30th is fine by me.  There are those that do not agree with me, and that is the way it is.  I don’t expect anybody to.  I will say this though, don’t be surprised if the Raiders trade down to #30 with the 49ers.  It’s not unheard of, especially if the price is right.  The 49ers have 11 draft picks to use in the draft, and I guarantee they will be looking to move up.  The Raiders are a likely moving location for the 49ers.

I am not taking away from players like Khalil Mack, Mike Evans, Sammy Watkins, Greg Robinson, or Jake Matthews, but there are still quality players left around the 30th pick in the 1st round.  Players like Anthony Barr, Darqueze Dennard, Timmy Jernigan, or Calvin Pryor.  If the draft wasn’t as deep at talent this year, then I would be changing my attitude toward trading down, but the talent allows me to have the opinion that I keep.

I don’t know what the Raiders will do come draft day, but I believe that trading down is a likely scenario.  Either way, I think the Raiders should do the best thing for the team.  More draft picks equal more young players to come in and compete for a starting job, or more players to come in and develop behind the talent that was brought in during free agency.  In any scenario, the only way the Raiders will climb out of the cellar is to win.  Winning will change everything.

Tags: 2014 NFL Draft Oakland Raiders

  • MichaelJ

    I don’t see this unless the Raiders get the 49ers first pick next year plus at least a few picks this year and even then I don’t know that the Raiders do it if Mack Clowney or Watkins is on the board

  • Pridenpoise

    There’s not a snowballs chance in hell that Oakland swaps picks with the whiners, all eyes are on Reggie, and he better have one hell of a draft this year, because it could very well be his last one if it turns out badly.

  • Logan Kuehner

    What happen to Chris Shellcroft?

  • KloverJane

    I hope we turn the corner on the 8th……..
    It’s fine if they trade down, a little. I don’t know what they plan to do but as always, it won’t be a guy I have read about. I’d like to be pleasantly surprised. I’m not meaning this to be negative but I’m no Edgar Cacy. It literally seems that the pick is always the opposite of what I predict. Or expect.
    Maybe I’ll try a new approach and say it’s going to be a quarterback. Lol

  • TomaterRaider

    I am with you Schane – trade down and pick up as many mid round picks as possible.
    Also, I think Reg and DA are being watched but I don’t think there is any pressure to make the playoffs this season by Mr. Davis.
    This is the first year of building a foundation and we need a lot of concrete to do it with. We are not a brick or two shy of that solid foundation so if there is a trade partner that will get us more concrete – I am all for it no matter where we pick.
    I think linemen and building the defense is our number one priority in this draft. We (IMO) don’t need to look at offensive skill positions this draft because we are not ready for those bricks yet. However, some of those impact players everyone wants may already be on our team – Greg Olson knows what sort of mortar he is working with this season and I expect there will be a lot of break out numbers. Could you imagine McFadden, Streater, Holmes or anyone involved in advancing the ball for touchdowns, have a beastly year?
    So yes, Trade down and build that foundation as deep as possible.

  • Shane Schilperoort

    I totally agree

  • Shane Schilperoort

    Left for a job with ESPN I think

  • Shane Schilperoort

    There’s a snowballs chance, maybe not what you want, but a chance

  • Shane Schilperoort

    More like one or two 2nds, a third and fourth or fifth.

  • Rees Britton

    we shall see, but I agree!

  • Shane Schilperoort

    LOL

  • Shane Schilperoort

    Yes indeed, it never goes how anybody thinks

  • Bob

    As Shane knows, I still say don’t trade down and don’t draft a QB. Build the defense this year. Pick OL, LB, WR D Line at number 5.

    Yes, Reggie has to be under the gun. The first and second round pick from last year had no impact on the team and ended on injured reserve, Reggie’s first pick as a GM in the third round from the previous year seemed to be beaten out in training camp and ended up on injured reserve. A team just can’t get better this way.

  • bigninaross

    I agree Shane. I say we get more picks and build this thing right. I also wanted to say I think that Reggie has done a good job given the circumstances. From 2012, Bergstrom, Burris, Crawford and Criner are all still on the team and you can’t help injuries. And from 2013, Hayden, Watson, Moore, Kasa, Murray, Rivera, McGee and Butler all look to be solid players, and again you can’t predict injuries. Now were these early round guys superstars that dominated the field? No. But they are all still learning and getting better and whether or not they become superstars in this league remains to be seen. Sure we would all love for every early round draft pick to be an instant starter and dominate his position, but that obviously isn’t reality. All 53 players can’t start. We need a few good men to play back up roles and keep the bench warm. To me trading down and getting more young talent is definitely the key.

  • DanfromVegas

    Trading the fifth for a boatload of picks in this deep a draft? I’m in.

  • Shane Schilperoort

    A boat load of draft picks would be nice.

  • Shane Schilperoort

    I totally agree with you. That’s why it makes sense to me to trade down. Pick up a couple of key position players and build behind the talent.

  • Shane Schilperoort

    True, but this is the first year in which the Raiders had any money to spend in the off-season. Not only that, but this team has been in dire straits due to BS pick trades by both Al Davis and Hue Jackson that landed us in this predicament in the first place. Reggie has finally axed the hefty contract players who played mediocre football at the end of their careers. This is his first draft in which he could truly make a splash, and he has been making strides for the 2014 season. The Raiders are already a better team than last year, the year before, and the year before that. Now, they will progress forward by building up the foundation that has been laid. We will see OL, DT’s, DE’s, CB’s, WR’s, LB’s, and yes, even a QB taken in this years draft by McKenzie. With just 7 picks, and most in the late rounds (3 in the 7th), McKenzie will be looking to make a move for earlier round picks (2nd, 3rd, or 4th). If the price is right, and 3 picks for the 5th spot would be right, McKenzie will pull the trigger. Again, the price has to be right. 2 additional picks to move down from 5 to say 8, 9, or 10, would be right as well. Keep an open mind this year, there’s going to be movement. Unless, Khalil Mack is available at #5. Then, I think McKenzie will grab him up.

  • Pridenpoise

    You’ve been reading to many blogs, there’s no chance.

  • Raider Grant

    Disagree Shane, the previous regime, salary cap space, free agency has nothing to do with McKenzie’s c- drafts. Draft grade given was pity grade too, as some PROFESSIONAL analysts give the draft grades D. McKenzie has given up draft picks & gambled on draft picks & The Raiders have fallen further behind in the rebuilding process due to the major mistakes made. I agree this team will be better, but also know this team could be better had adequate draft picks been made last year! If everything right nothing can be wrong right ??? Everyone one said same thing last year, this is the draft & what happened? Gave up two draft picks for QB’s that didn’t stay with or help the team any way shape or form. I hope McKenzie nails it I truly do, but so far he has proven jack squat. Trimming dead weight from overhead is normal business practice, so I give him no kudos there. Building a team requires excellent free agent signing & flawless drafts. Lets hope we start adding excellent draft picks starting next week, as I believe McKenzie did an ok job during 2014 free agency. Go Raiders!!!

  • chase ruttig

    Reggie McKenzie did not make those picks Shane, which overwrites a little bit of that history. For the record: I think a trade down is completely fine, but trading down to #30 is essentially trading out out of the entire first round (as I shared in my column). That would greatly impact the Raiders chances of getting a future franchise player, which is the entire point of the first round of the draft which is why I feel they need to stay in the Top 15.

    By the way: Great counterpoint article Shane. Really enjoyed the read.

    Chase

  • Shane Schilperoort

    True, but we really won’t know the true impact of RM’s first picks in 2012 until this year. Year 3 is usually the decision maker on whether or not the picks he made were a good or bad decision. A lot of uncertainty, I’ll admit, but I think this will be his best year

  • Shane Schilperoort

    Nice

  • Pridenpoise

    Nothing personal, I just feel Reggie has to hit a home run this time, there’s a much better chance of that happening in the top ten then there is in the #30 spot. I know I’m stating the obvious, and I know everyone feels it’s a deep draft, but there’s less room for error in the top end. imo

  • MD_in_MD

    I think there’s no doubt that they trade down, even if it’s only a few spots and an extra 3rd or 4th rounder. They need to go after as much young talent as possible. In RM’s case, the more the merrier, ’cause he’s terrible at drafting.

  • Shane Schilperoort

    Couldn’t have said it better.

  • Shane Schilperoort

    No worries, it’s just my nature. I get passionate about something, and it gets me typing. Nothing personal, just passion.

  • Shane Schilperoort

    Nope, I don’t take things personally. I just have a lot of passion, and it actually made me laugh. I do read a lot of blogs… Too many sometimes. LOL. Sliding back is like losing a 1st round spot, I see your point. However, I just believe that with the acquisition of extra picks, it isn’t a bad thing to do. There are players that can’t be passed up, that’s for sure, but I don’t know that they will be there at #5.