The Colts are not the Chiefs or Vikings
Although the Colts are a solid team, they do not have the star power that the Vikings and Chiefs have. This game will be much more competitive than the last two weeks, strictly because there are fewer stars for the Raiders to deal with.
Having a team full of stars does not always mean that the team is great, but with a team like the Raiders, a star-studded team will always be harder to defeat than a team like the Colts. The Colts may be a better overall team than the Vikings, but with the Vikings pass rush, offensive weapons, and overall talent, they are a tougher matchup than the Colts.
The Colts play down to their competition every week, and it has been like that for years. This game will be a close game from start to finish, strictly because there is nobody on the Colts that the Raiders will get dominated by all game.
The biggest fear for the Raiders in this game is Marlon Mack, and although Mack is good, it is less of a challenge than stopping Mahomes in Week 2 or stopping Dalvin Cook in Week 3. The Raiders were able to defeat the Broncos because there was nobody on their offense that could break the game open, and the Colts are the same way. If T.Y. Hilton does not play, that statement becomes even more true.