Will the Raiders pull off the upset over Titans and keep their playoff dreams alive?

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Titans at Raiders Picks, Predictions & Betting Odds

  • Odds: Titans -3
  • Over/Under: 47.5
  • Kickoff: 4:25 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: CBS

Odds as of Thursday evening.

The Tennessee Titans head to Oakland as 3-point road favorites against the Raiders. But are recent performances by both teams incorrectly impacting this line?

Our experts preview this matchup, featuring a spread pick and a comparison to Sean Koerner’s projected odds.

Titans-Raiders Injury Report

Which team is healthier? 

A.J. Brown (calf) was a new addition to the injury report and was listed as a limited participant on Thursday. I wouldn’t worry at all about Derrick Henry (hamstring) — it’s the same routine he followed last week, resting on Wednesday and getting in a limited session on Thursday.

Cornerbacks LeShaun Sims (ankle) and Adoree Jackson (foot) haven’t practiced this week, and the same goes for Adam Humphries (ankle).

Meanwhile, the Raiders’ biggest injury of note is Josh Jacobs. A report came out that he’s been playing with a fractured shoulder, and he’s now missed back-to-back practices. Looking back at my old practice notes, this is the first time since Week 8 in which he’s missed consecutive practices due to his shoulder. He sounds legitimately questionable for Week 14. Justin Bailey

Note: Info as of Thursday. See our Injury Report for daily practice participation and game statuses up until kickoff.

Biggest Mismatch

Titans Red-Zone Offense vs. Raiders Red-Zone Defense

Believe it or not, the Titans actually lead the NFL with a 71.88% red-zone touchdown scoring percentage. And that number is nothing compared to what they’ve done inside their opponent’s 20-yard line since Ryan Tannehill took over.

Since Tannehill took over as the starter, the Titans have scored touchdowns on 15-of-17 trips inside the red zone over six games and have averaged 29.67 points per game — almost two full touchdowns more than their average over the first six games. Even that early-season average drops to 11 points per game if you remove the 43-point outburst in Week 1 against the Browns.

The Raiders have to find a way to slow down the Titans in the red zone — it’s been a major area of weakness for an Oakland team that struggles to generate pressure and cover on the outside. The Raiders are allowing touchdowns on 66.67% of red-zone trips, the worst in the NFL. Stuckey

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Sean Koerner’s Projected Odds

  • Projected Spread: Titans -3
  • Projected Total: 45

I have this pegged as the third-slowest game of Week 14, yet it has one of the four highest totals.

Both teams will attempt to control the clock with a run-heavy game plan, making this very much Henry vs. Jacobs (if both play). And while both secondaries are vulnerable right now, I wouldn’t expect either team to take too many shots downfield unless they get behind. Considering I project this to be a close one, I’m viewing that as all the more reason to like the under here. Sean Koerner

Expert Pick

Mike Randle: Raiders +3

Always take advantage of knee-jerk overreactions when betting on the NFL.

The Raiders have looked terrible in consecutive losses at the Jets and Chiefs, losing by a combined score of 74-9, while the Titans have won three in a row including last week’s 31-17 upset at Indianapolis.

This is the perfect spot to grab the home underdog at the key number of +3.

Oakland is 5-1 at home, including 4-1 against the spread as a home underdog. The Raiders have been decent against the run, allowing the 13th-fewest rushing yards to opposing running backs. Their defense is significantly better at home, allowing only 20.5 points per game and more than 13 fewer points than on the road.

Jacobs has also been significantly better at home and should receive ample opportunity as the center of the Raiders’ offensive attack if he plays.

Oakland needs this one desperately to stay in the playoff race, and the Raiders have much tougher at home on both sides of the ball. Jon Gruden’s squad averages more points per drive (2.07) and sacks (1.67) per game at home.

The Titans have played well, but this is a prime letdown spot after a huge divisional road win at Indianapolis. I’ll gladly take the three points in game Oakland could very well win outright.

I’d bet this down to Oakland +2.

Randle is 212-205-5 (50.8%) overall betting on the NFL. You can follow him in our free app.