Las Vegas Raiders game breakdown and prediction for Week 7 vs. Buccaneers
By Sean Basile
Game Prediction
I have no idea what’s going to go down in this game, but I’m going to play it as safe as I can and lean on the hope that Derek Carr and Jon Gruden will work out a game plan to get the ball out early to avoid the Bucs pass rush and keep the Raiders close in this game.
They could very well win it outright. They could very well get blown out by Tampa if Tampa gets back into their zone. But I’m going to say the Bucs win this game 28-24 and the Raiders hit a backdoor cover of 4.5 points.
Unders are starting to become more prevalent as Week 6 showed us with 10 unders occurring. This is a game many people expect to shoot out, but I think both defenses are going to play well.
In terms of the Raiders covering, every week so far we’ve had at least 8 underdogs cover spreads. This week was extremely tough for me to land on 8, but I had the Giants covering Thursday night and now I have the Steelers, Washington, Panthers, Bengals, Lions, Bears, and now Raiders covering as underdogs to bring this week’s total to 8 dogs covering.
I was torn between the Raiders (+4.5), Broncos (+9.5), Jaguars (+7.5), and Jets (+12) for my 8th covering underdog, but the Jets are completely untrustworthy and have gone 0-5 this year covering as dogs, the Broncos have 38 of their total 65 losses to Kansas City by more than 9.5 points, and the Jaguars have 7 of their 8 total losses to the Chargers by 7.5 points or more.
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The Raiders have lost by more than a 4.5 spread to the Bucs in 2 of their 3 losses. Not great odds either, but I feel better about taking them than the other three teams I had on the block for that final spot.
Bucs win this game. Jon Gruden gets his Raiders to play well against his former team and cover 4.5 points. It’s a cute prediction, but I’m sticking by it. What a great game for me to break onto the Just Blog Baby scene, am I right?!