Looking to move to 7-4 on the season, the Las Vegas Raiders hit the road to take on the Atlanta Falcons, and here is how you should bet the game.
The Las Vegas Raiders may have lost last week, snapping their win streak, but in that losing effort, they proved the AFC West is not solely Kansas City’s to dominate for years to come. Las Vegas really stepped up and showed the Chiefs they are not afraid of them, and in many other circumstances, they may have even won that game and sweep the Chiefs this year.
I’m the first to admit it, I got last week’s game completely wrong. You know the saying about how numbers never lie? Well, they lied last week because if we look back, we had the Chiefs covering eight points in 15 of 31 wins at the Raiders (48%) and 37 of 67 wins over the Raiders overall (55%).
On top of that, one of the biggest losses I took last week came in the under for this game which was at 56.5. 13 of 123 games overall between these two (11%) and eight of 61 games between these two in Raider home games (13%) went over 56.5 points.
Those were the lowest percentages to hit overs of any other game in Week 11 disregarding the Titans/Ravens game, which actually had a lower percentage chance of going over. Both games went over as it turns out, so the numbers really did us dirty in that regard.
I have now dropped to an abysmal 2-8 on the year in picking Raiders’ spreads, which ties my worst team with the Dolphins in that category, who I’m also 2-8 picking. But the good news is I have pulled to .500 with picking Raiders games straight up to 5-5 on the year, with my most recent surge of 4-1 with Raider game picks.