Las Vegas Raiders vs. Indianapolis Colts: How to bet 2020 Week 14

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Indianapolis Colts: How to bet 2020 Week 14

Over/Under?

What about the over/under? Obviously, more confusion if you didn’t guess by now.

Eight of 18 games between these two teams overall went over 51.5 points. That’s 44%. That also ranks this game fourth of 16 for best percentage overall to go over. The fourth-ranked game has gone over in zero of the last four games.

Four of nine games between these two at the Raiders went over 51.5 points as well. That’s also 44% but ranks sixth among other games. The sixth ranked game in this category has gone over in one of the past four weeks. If we combine the two rankings, this game comes out to be the fifth most likely to go over, however this time, the fifth ranked game has gone over in three of the past four weeks.

So, we have two stats telling us the game goes under, and one telling us the game goes over, and neither is definitive. So, I have to stick to my guns on this one and roll with the Colts winning this game, since they haven’t won less than two-straight all season long.

And if the Colts win, they cover three points 100% of the time against the Raiders, even in an over 51.5 game, give me the Colts to cover three points and win.

As for the over/under, unfortunately, I’m still hesitant to trust the Raiders because they have come out flat in two straight games after starting out 6-4. The Falcons completely shut them down and the New York Jets were no cakewalk either. If we look back on the Raiders’ season, they’ve alternated overs and unders in seven-straight games, and they just hit an over last week. This week would logically be an under week for them.

There is a distinct possibility the Raiders fall asleep at the wheel yet again and fail to bring their offense home. They’re 2-3 at home while Indy is 4-2 on the road, and Jon Gruden’s bunch have been much more effective on the road this year than in Vegas.

I think the Colt defense will be what ultimately does it for the Raiders. It stumbled against the Green Bay Packers and Tennessee Titans, but those are two of the best offenses in football. I think the Raiders’ inconsistency on offense the past couple of weeks is going to be the key. Three key defensive backs and Josh Jacobs being banged up doesn’t help out either.

I’m not going to sit on the fence this week. I’m going with the Colts to win this game 28-20, cover three points, and hit the under 51.5.