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Win or Loss: Raiders guide to highest and lowest 2023 NFL Draft spot

By Micah McDonald

NASHVILLE, TENNESSEE - APRIL 25: A general view of a video board as the Oakland Raiders pick is announced during the first round of the 2019 NFL Draft on April 25, 2019 in Nashville, Tennessee. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)
NASHVILLE, TENNESSEE - APRIL 25: A general view of a video board as the Oakland Raiders pick is announced during the first round of the 2019 NFL Draft on April 25, 2019 in Nashville, Tennessee. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images) /
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Dec 4, 2022; Paradise, Nevada, USA; Las Vegas Raiders quarterback Jarrett Stidham (3) warms up before a game against the Los Angeles Chargers at Allegiant Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Stephen R. Sylvanie-USA TODAY Sports /

Win or Loss: Raiders guide to highest and lowest 2023 NFL Draft spot

If They Win

Highest Draft Spot

#8 Scenario:

  • Panthers Win vs. Saints
  • Browns Win vs. Steelers
  • Jets Win vs. Dolphins

When two teams have the same exact final record and have not had a head-to-head matchup, the tie breaker is determined via strength of schedule. According to the people at Power Ranking Guru, as of Tuesday the Raiders have the second strongest strength of schedule which means any team would jump them if it came down to that metric.

Currently the Raiders hold the head-to-head tie breaker against the Saints and Titans who both are 7-9. Even with them losing and the Raiders winning, Las Vegas would still hold the higher spot. The Panthers, Browns, and Jets however would all jump the Raiders if they lost so a win this week against the Chiefs would almost certainly see them moving out of that 8 spot unless all the above scenarios panned out.

Lowest Draft Spot

#11 Scenario:

  • Panthers Lose vs. Saints
  • Browns Lose vs. Steelers
  • Jets Lose vs. Dolphins

The inverse of their best-case scenario above quite literally results in their worst-case scenario here. As mentioned, all three of the teams would beat out the Raiders from the strength of schedule standpoint if they all lost and the Raiders won on Saturday. All four teams would have the same record at 7-10 and based on the SoS, the order would fall into place with the Panthers getting the #8 pick, the Browns getting the #9 pick, and the Jets getting the #10.

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